예측
An experiment page that matches future weather with telemetry history to sketch the next week
Forecast Experiment
Read next week by starting from the weather
This page turns future weather plus similar historical days into daily cards about how Dory may spend the next week. It is built from weather, month, activity, stress, appetite, and event-rate statistics rather than generative prose.
Future weather could not be fetched, so weekly cards are temporarily unavailable
The historical data is still available, so this experiment page will refresh once the weather API is back.
- History days
- 1,414
- Weather-linked days
- 1,089
- Avg confidence
- —
- Latest telemetry date
- 2026-03-28
Why this forecast says that
To keep this transparent, the page shows the inputs and matching rules directly.
Data used
The page overlays telemetry history with future weather forecast days.
- History: 1414 days
- Weather-linked history: 1089 days
- Latest telemetry date: 2026-03-28
Matching rule
It prefers historical days with the same weather, same month, and similar high temperature, then broadens the sample only when needed.
- Priority: weather + month + temperature -> weather + month -> weather -> month
- Outputs: activity / stress / appetite / event rate
How to read it
"Watch closely" does not mean a bad outcome is expected; it means that day is worth logging more carefully.
- Outdoor-friendly: likely easier to move
- Rest-first: likely easier to keep the day lighter
- Balanced: close to baseline
Current Baseline
The current correction derived from recent telemetry
These future cards should be read together with the current state. When recent drift exists, the next-week hypothesis is adjusted more conservatively.
Watch
Recent telemetry shows changes worth watching
The forecast also incorporates the latest drift and leans more conservative.
Signals
Signals currently shaping the correction
6-Month Outlook
Mid-term outlook
Predicted 6-month change -0.0
- Routine maintenance
Main adjustment
現状維持
大きな調整はせず、いつものルーティンを保ちながら観察を続けます。
ベースラインからのズレが小さい
📝 Portable template
Copy a scaffold that compares next-week hypotheses against actual outcomes in one note. Add detail on your own PC, then return to the latest tiny wag page and validate it.
- Track hypotheses and actual outcomes day by day across a week, including where they diverged.
- The template treats forecasts as hypotheses and expects you to update them with timestamps and actual observations.
- When you revisit this, compare it with the latest version at the same URL.
The 7-day validation template is ready to copy.
コピー内容の冒頭
tiny wag 7-Day Validation Template [Reference] Page URL: https://tinywag.com/ko/forecast-ko/ Reference date: 2026-03-31 Data baseline date: 2026-03-28 Version: tiny wag Forecast 2026-03-30 Generation note: Forecasts are hypotheses. When you revisit this, compare the latest page with your actual observations. [This week’s hypothesis] - Recent telemetry shows changes worth watching - The forecast also incorporates the latest drift and leans more conservative. ...